Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10% szansa
$334,386 Wol.
$334,386 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
10% szansa
$334,386 Wol.
$334,386 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$334,386Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$334,386Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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