Russian forces have sought to advance toward and consolidate control over Vodianske in Donetsk oblast as part of broader efforts to secure the region, with earlier 2026 reports indicating partial gains and heavy destruction in the settlement near Dobropillia. Ukrainian sources documented the village as heavily damaged by mid-2026, while Russian claims in August noted tactical progress through fortified lines. Trader odds reflect uncertainty over full capture of the key intersection by specific deadlines, influenced by grinding frontline conditions marked by drone warfare and attrition. Ukraine's September launch of Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from nearby areas, disrupting logistics and potentially diverting resources that could slow advances elsewhere in Donetsk. Scheduled diplomatic contacts involving U.S. envoys add another variable that could affect operational tempo in the coming weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Russia capture Vodianske by...?
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
$125,565 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
6%
December 31
26%
$125,565 Wol.
September 30
$52,325 Wol.
6%
December 31
$73,239 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have sought to advance toward and consolidate control over Vodianske in Donetsk oblast as part of broader efforts to secure the region, with earlier 2026 reports indicating partial gains and heavy destruction in the settlement near Dobropillia. Ukrainian sources documented the village as heavily damaged by mid-2026, while Russian claims in August noted tactical progress through fortified lines. Trader odds reflect uncertainty over full capture of the key intersection by specific deadlines, influenced by grinding frontline conditions marked by drone warfare and attrition. Ukraine's September launch of Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from nearby areas, disrupting logistics and potentially diverting resources that could slow advances elsewhere in Donetsk. Scheduled diplomatic contacts involving U.S. envoys add another variable that could affect operational tempo in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$125,565Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have sought to advance toward and consolidate control over Vodianske in Donetsk oblast as part of broader efforts to secure the region, with earlier 2026 reports indicating partial gains and heavy destruction in the settlement near Dobropillia. Ukrainian sources documented the village as heavily damaged by mid-2026, while Russian claims in August noted tactical progress through fortified lines. Trader odds reflect uncertainty over full capture of the key intersection by specific deadlines, influenced by grinding frontline conditions marked by drone warfare and attrition. Ukraine's September launch of Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from nearby areas, disrupting logistics and potentially diverting resources that could slow advances elsewhere in Donetsk. Scheduled diplomatic contacts involving U.S. envoys add another variable that could affect operational tempo in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Wolumen
$125,565Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have sought to advance toward and consolidate control over Vodianske in Donetsk oblast as part of broader efforts to secure the region, with earlier 2026 reports indicating partial gains and heavy destruction in the settlement near Dobropillia. Ukrainian sources documented the village as heavily damaged by mid-2026, while Russian claims in August noted tactical progress through fortified lines. Trader odds reflect uncertainty over full capture of the key intersection by specific deadlines, influenced by grinding frontline conditions marked by drone warfare and attrition. Ukraine's September launch of Operation Vivaldi northwest of Lyman has cleared Russian infiltrators from nearby areas, disrupting logistics and potentially diverting resources that could slow advances elsewhere in Donetsk. Scheduled diplomatic contacts involving U.S. envoys add another variable that could affect operational tempo in the coming weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania