The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
48% szansa
$12,651 Wol.
$12,651 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
48% szansa
$12,651 Wol.
$12,651 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,651Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$12,651Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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