Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, including July 2026 ship attacks and retaliatory strikes, have heightened tensions without triggering a formal declaration of war. President Trump has authorized targeted operations and referenced “major combat” while pursuing ceasefires and the June Islamabad Memorandum, yet Article I of the Constitution reserves war declarations for Congress. Current diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and waterway access, alongside paused strikes for negotiations, shapes trader views on the low likelihood of congressional action by any near-term resolution date. Key upcoming catalysts include further mediation rounds and any escalation that might prompt legislative debate.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
Czy Stany Zjednoczone oficjalnie wypowiedzą wojnę Iranowi do...?
$7,764,545 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 grudnia
3%
$7,764,545 Wol.
31 grudnia
$791,911 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, including July 2026 ship attacks and retaliatory strikes, have heightened tensions without triggering a formal declaration of war. President Trump has authorized targeted operations and referenced “major combat” while pursuing ceasefires and the June Islamabad Memorandum, yet Article I of the Constitution reserves war declarations for Congress. Current diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and waterway access, alongside paused strikes for negotiations, shapes trader views on the low likelihood of congressional action by any near-term resolution date. Key upcoming catalysts include further mediation rounds and any escalation that might prompt legislative debate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,764,545Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, including July 2026 ship attacks and retaliatory strikes, have heightened tensions without triggering a formal declaration of war. President Trump has authorized targeted operations and referenced “major combat” while pursuing ceasefires and the June Islamabad Memorandum, yet Article I of the Constitution reserves war declarations for Congress. Current diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and waterway access, alongside paused strikes for negotiations, shapes trader views on the low likelihood of congressional action by any near-term resolution date. Key upcoming catalysts include further mediation rounds and any escalation that might prompt legislative debate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$7,764,545Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz, including July 2026 ship attacks and retaliatory strikes, have heightened tensions without triggering a formal declaration of war. President Trump has authorized targeted operations and referenced “major combat” while pursuing ceasefires and the June Islamabad Memorandum, yet Article I of the Constitution reserves war declarations for Congress. Current diplomatic deadlock over sanctions relief, reparations, and waterway access, alongside paused strikes for negotiations, shapes trader views on the low likelihood of congressional action by any near-term resolution date. Key upcoming catalysts include further mediation rounds and any escalation that might prompt legislative debate.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania