Persistent hostilities from the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by a fragile April ceasefire now under strain, continue to block any near-term restoration of formal diplomatic relations severed since 1979. President Trump’s early May rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal lacking nuclear concessions triggered fresh US sanctions on Iranian oil exports, reinforcing maximum-pressure tactics amid ongoing indirect talks through Swiss and Pakistani channels focused on de-escalation and limited restrictions rather than embassy reopening. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy in Iran remains structurally improbable by year-end absent a comprehensive breakthrough.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
$80,059 Wol.
$80,059 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$80,059 Wol.
$80,059 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent hostilities from the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by a fragile April ceasefire now under strain, continue to block any near-term restoration of formal diplomatic relations severed since 1979. President Trump’s early May rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal lacking nuclear concessions triggered fresh US sanctions on Iranian oil exports, reinforcing maximum-pressure tactics amid ongoing indirect talks through Swiss and Pakistani channels focused on de-escalation and limited restrictions rather than embassy reopening. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy in Iran remains structurally improbable by year-end absent a comprehensive breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$80,059Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent hostilities from the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by a fragile April ceasefire now under strain, continue to block any near-term restoration of formal diplomatic relations severed since 1979. President Trump’s early May rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal lacking nuclear concessions triggered fresh US sanctions on Iranian oil exports, reinforcing maximum-pressure tactics amid ongoing indirect talks through Swiss and Pakistani channels focused on de-escalation and limited restrictions rather than embassy reopening. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy in Iran remains structurally improbable by year-end absent a comprehensive breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$80,059Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent hostilities from the February 2026 US and Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by a fragile April ceasefire now under strain, continue to block any near-term restoration of formal diplomatic relations severed since 1979. President Trump’s early May rejection of Tehran’s counterproposal lacking nuclear concessions triggered fresh US sanctions on Iranian oil exports, reinforcing maximum-pressure tactics amid ongoing indirect talks through Swiss and Pakistani channels focused on de-escalation and limited restrictions rather than embassy reopening. These developments sustain trader consensus that an embassy in Iran remains structurally improbable by year-end absent a comprehensive breakthrough.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania