Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
Sim
$68,293 Vol.
$68,293 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative barriers and procedural setbacks in Congress have anchored trader expectations that the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act will remain in place through 2026. The provision, designed as a $1.1 billion revenue offset effective January 1, 2026, faces resistance from Republicans prioritizing debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act, encountered recent rejection by the House Rules Committee, while the FULL HOUSE Act has seen no floor action amid divided chamber dynamics and midterm pressures. Industry lobbying, highlighted by UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 appeal to President Trump, has not yet produced scheduled votes or reconciliation inclusion that could shift probabilities before the December 31, 2026, deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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