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Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?

icon for Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?

Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

36% chance
Polymarket

$67,820 Vol.

Sim

36% chance
Polymarket

$67,820 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability that Congress will not repeal the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) under IRC Section 165(d), effective for 2026 tax year—before January 1, 2027. Bipartisan repeal efforts, including the FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985/S. 2230) backed by Rep. Max Miller, Sen. Ted Cruz, and Rep. Dina Titus, plus recent lobbying like UFC CEO Dana White's letter to President Trump yesterday, have gained industry support from gaming states but stalled in House Ways and Means and Senate Finance committees amid procedural hurdles and competing priorities such as appropriations bills and midterm election dynamics. IRS proposed rules in April further entrenched the provision, and a March 31 repeal deadline already resolved "No," underscoring slim odds for standalone passage absent omnibus inclusion.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$67,820
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability that Congress will not repeal the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) under IRC Section 165(d), effective for 2026 tax year—before January 1, 2027. Bipartisan repeal efforts, including the FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985/S. 2230) backed by Rep. Max Miller, Sen. Ted Cruz, and Rep. Dina Titus, plus recent lobbying like UFC CEO Dana White's letter to President Trump yesterday, have gained industry support from gaming states but stalled in House Ways and Means and Senate Finance committees amid procedural hurdles and competing priorities such as appropriations bills and midterm election dynamics. IRS proposed rules in April further entrenched the provision, and a March 31 repeal deadline already resolved "No," underscoring slim odds for standalone passage absent omnibus inclusion.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$67,820
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O limite para deduções de perdas em jogos de azar será revogado antes de 2027?" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?" has generated $67.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?" is "O limite para deduções de perdas em jogos de azar será revogado antes de 2027?" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Limite de deduções de perdas de jogos de azar revogado antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.