The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$71,073 Vol.
$71,073 Vol.
Sim
$71,073 Vol.
$71,073 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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