Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability that Congress will not repeal the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) under IRC Section 165(d), effective for 2026 tax year—before January 1, 2027. Bipartisan repeal efforts, including the FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985/S. 2230) backed by Rep. Max Miller, Sen. Ted Cruz, and Rep. Dina Titus, plus recent lobbying like UFC CEO Dana White's letter to President Trump yesterday, have gained industry support from gaming states but stalled in House Ways and Means and Senate Finance committees amid procedural hurdles and competing priorities such as appropriations bills and midterm election dynamics. IRS proposed rules in April further entrenched the provision, and a March 31 repeal deadline already resolved "No," underscoring slim odds for standalone passage absent omnibus inclusion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$67,820 Vol.
$67,820 Vol.
Sim
$67,820 Vol.
$67,820 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 64.5% implied probability that Congress will not repeal the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions—enacted via the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) under IRC Section 165(d), effective for 2026 tax year—before January 1, 2027. Bipartisan repeal efforts, including the FULL HOUSE Act (H.R. 6985/S. 2230) backed by Rep. Max Miller, Sen. Ted Cruz, and Rep. Dina Titus, plus recent lobbying like UFC CEO Dana White's letter to President Trump yesterday, have gained industry support from gaming states but stalled in House Ways and Means and Senate Finance committees amid procedural hurdles and competing priorities such as appropriations bills and midterm election dynamics. IRS proposed rules in April further entrenched the provision, and a March 31 repeal deadline already resolved "No," underscoring slim odds for standalone passage absent omnibus inclusion.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions