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icon for Clacton by-election: 2º lugar

Clacton by-election: 2º lugar

icon for Clacton by-election: 2º lugar

Clacton by-election: 2º lugar

Conde Binface 96.6%

William Clouston 1.3%

Nigel Farage 1.1%

Laurence Fox <1%

Polymarket

$496,573 Vol.

Conde Binface 96.6%

William Clouston 1.3%

Nigel Farage 1.1%

Laurence Fox <1%

Polymarket

$496,573 Vol.

icon for Conde Binface

Conde Binface

$409,112 Vol.

97%

icon for William Clouston

William Clouston

$7,067 Vol.

1%

icon for Nigel Farage

Nigel Farage

$36,276 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurence Fox

Laurence Fox

$11,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Stevens

John Stevens

$5,736 Vol.

<1%

icon for Giles Watling

Giles Watling

$3,280 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul

$2,857 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matthew Bensilum

Matthew Bensilum

$3,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Natasha Osben

Natasha Osben

$2,862 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tony Mack

Tony Mack

$2,457 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Pemberton

Andrew Pemberton

$1,885 Vol.

<1%

icon for Piers Corbyn

Piers Corbyn

$1,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adham Alkhatip

Adham Alkhatip

$1,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rees Cowne

Rees Cowne

$2,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kai Stephens

Kai Stephens

$1,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luke Worley

Luke Worley

$1,351 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pamela Walford

Pamela Walford

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties' withdrawal from the Clacton by-election has left Nigel Farage as the sole candidate from a major party, concentrating attention on novelty contender Count Binface amid a record field of 34 candidates. Binface's established media profile, active manifesto pledges, and positioning as a protest or tactical option have driven consistent polling support around 20 percent, far ahead of other independents and minor-party figures such as Laurence Fox or William Clouston. This dynamic underpins trader consensus favoring Binface for second place in first-past-the-post voting on 13 August. Shifts among the long tail of lesser-known candidates or changes in protest-vote patterns could still narrow his lead.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$496,573
Data de Término
13 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Major parties' withdrawal from the Clacton by-election has left Nigel Farage as the sole candidate from a major party, concentrating attention on novelty contender Count Binface amid a record field of 34 candidates. Binface's established media profile, active manifesto pledges, and positioning as a protest or tactical option have driven consistent polling support around 20 percent, far ahead of other independents and minor-party figures such as Laurence Fox or William Clouston. This dynamic underpins trader consensus favoring Binface for second place in first-past-the-post voting on 13 August. Shifts among the long tail of lesser-known candidates or changes in protest-vote patterns could still narrow his lead.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$496,573
Data de Término
13 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Clacton by-election: 2º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conde Binface" at 97%, followed by "William Clouston" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Clacton by-election: 2º lugar" has generated $496.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Clacton by-election: 2º lugar," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Clacton by-election: 2º lugar" is "Conde Binface" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "William Clouston" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Clacton by-election: 2º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.