Major parties' withdrawal from the Clacton by-election has left Nigel Farage as the sole candidate from a major party, concentrating attention on novelty contender Count Binface amid a record field of 34 candidates. Binface's established media profile, active manifesto pledges, and positioning as a protest or tactical option have driven consistent polling support around 20 percent, far ahead of other independents and minor-party figures such as Laurence Fox or William Clouston. This dynamic underpins trader consensus favoring Binface for second place in first-past-the-post voting on 13 August. Shifts among the long tail of lesser-known candidates or changes in protest-vote patterns could still narrow his lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClacton by-election: 2º lugar
Conde Binface 96.6%
William Clouston 1.3%
Nigel Farage 1.1%
Laurence Fox <1%
$496,573 Vol.
$496,573 Vol.

Conde Binface
97%

William Clouston
1%

Nigel Farage
1%

Laurence Fox
<1%

John Stevens
<1%

Giles Watling
<1%

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
<1%

Matthew Bensilum
<1%

Natasha Osben
<1%

Tony Mack
<1%

Andrew Pemberton
<1%

Piers Corbyn
<1%

Adham Alkhatip
<1%

Rees Cowne
<1%

Kai Stephens
<1%

Luke Worley
<1%

Pamela Walford
<1%
Conde Binface 96.6%
William Clouston 1.3%
Nigel Farage 1.1%
Laurence Fox <1%
$496,573 Vol.
$496,573 Vol.

Conde Binface
97%

William Clouston
1%

Nigel Farage
1%

Laurence Fox
<1%

John Stevens
<1%

Giles Watling
<1%

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
<1%

Matthew Bensilum
<1%

Natasha Osben
<1%

Tony Mack
<1%

Andrew Pemberton
<1%

Piers Corbyn
<1%

Adham Alkhatip
<1%

Rees Cowne
<1%

Kai Stephens
<1%

Luke Worley
<1%

Pamela Walford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Major parties' withdrawal from the Clacton by-election has left Nigel Farage as the sole candidate from a major party, concentrating attention on novelty contender Count Binface amid a record field of 34 candidates. Binface's established media profile, active manifesto pledges, and positioning as a protest or tactical option have driven consistent polling support around 20 percent, far ahead of other independents and minor-party figures such as Laurence Fox or William Clouston. This dynamic underpins trader consensus favoring Binface for second place in first-past-the-post voting on 13 August. Shifts among the long tail of lesser-known candidates or changes in protest-vote patterns could still narrow his lead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions