In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSegundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: a maioria dos votos de Bogotá
Segundo turno das eleições presidenciais na Colômbia: a maioria dos votos de Bogotá
$38,599 Vol.
$38,599 Vol.
22 jun 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
49%
Abelardo de la Espriella
47%
$38,599 Vol.
$38,599 Vol.
22 jun 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$11,436 Vol.
49%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$27,163 Vol.
47%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$38,599Data de Término
22 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$38,599Data de Término
22 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Colombia’s June 21 presidential runoff, trader consensus prices the contest for most votes in Bogotá near even, reflecting the capital’s divided electorate between right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro. First-round results showed de la Espriella narrowly ahead nationally at 43.7 percent to Cepeda’s 40.9 percent, with both advancing after no candidate reached a majority. Bogotá’s urban voters, historically more receptive to center-left platforms yet responsive to security concerns, create a closely contested local dynamic. Recent endorsements from center-right figures and emphasis on crime policy have consolidated opposition support behind de la Espriella, while Cepeda retains backing from the Historic Pact coalition. The narrow national margin and competing turnout efforts in the capital keep implied probabilities balanced ahead of election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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