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"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

icon for "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

jun 15

43-47m 96.6%

39-43m 3.4%

>47m <1%

35-39m <1%

Polymarket

$330,942 Vol.

43-47m 96.6%

39-43m 3.4%

>47m <1%

35-39m <1%

Polymarket

$330,942 Vol.

<35m

$35,828 Vol.

<1%

35-39m

$39,504 Vol.

<1%

39-43m

$83,095 Vol.

3%

43-47m

$57,528 Vol.

97%

>47m

$114,987 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$330,942
Data de Término
15 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Steven Spielberg’s original alien sci-fi thriller *Disclosure Day* opened to strong tracking and a $19 million Friday from 3,824 theaters, locking in a $44 million domestic weekend that aligns precisely with the 43-47 million bin. Traders have driven the 96.6% implied probability here due to Spielberg’s proven draw with original IP amid franchise fatigue, solid previews, and comparisons to *Ready Player One*’s $41.7 million bow. A $115 million production budget adds context for long-term legs, while late reviews and word-of-mouth will matter less for this resolution. Upset scenarios remain narrow: an unexpectedly soft Sunday drop below 43 million or a surprise surge past 47 million from stronger international holdover momentum would be required to shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$330,942
Data de Término
15 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "43-47m" at 97%, followed by "39-43m" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office" has generated $330.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office" is "43-47m" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "39-43m" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.