Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 53%
<40 33%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.1%
NOVO
$50,592 Vol.
NOVO
$50,592 Vol.
15 jul 2026
<40
33%
40-64
53%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
<40 33%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.1%
NOVO
$50,592 Vol.
NOVO
$50,592 Vol.
15 jul 2026
<40
$11,137 Vol.
33%
40-64
$3,409 Vol.
53%
65-89
$3,546 Vol.
15%
90-114
$4,890 Vol.
2%
115-139
$2,152 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$5,525 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,931 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$4,399 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,666 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,937 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volume
$50,592Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 13 12:00 PM ET to July 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$50,592Data de Término
15 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 24–35 tweets per day, with weekends compressing to around 11 per day, anchors trader consensus on the 40–64 range for the July 13–15 window. Trackers show this moderated volume persisting amid routine X activity tied to Grok updates and SpaceX commentary, without major catalysts like product launches or high-stakes events to accelerate output. Weekend overlap in the period further tilts implied probabilities toward mid-range totals, consistent with historical patterns where weekday averages rarely sustain above 40 daily over short stretches. Traders are pricing in the established rhythm rather than anticipating a surge, while noting that sudden platform developments could still shift the count.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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