**Musk’s baseline posting rhythm amid heavy company news flow sets the tone for the June 19-26 window.** Recent weeks show him averaging roughly 25-35 tweets daily when focused on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, placing the 180-239 range in the lead at roughly 53% combined implied probability. The closely bunched 160-179, 200-219, and 220-239 buckets reflect trader uncertainty over whether the post-SpaceX IPO momentum and any fresh merger speculation with Tesla will trigger the kind of sustained commentary spikes seen in prior high-news cycles. Key swing factors include potential Starship updates, regulatory headlines, or viral cultural debates that historically lift daily volume above 40 tweets. With no single blockbuster event locked in for the exact period, the market prices a steady but not explosive week of engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$294,763 Vol.
$294,763 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 18%
160-179 15%
$294,763 Vol.
$294,763 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
9%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
18%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Musk’s baseline posting rhythm amid heavy company news flow sets the tone for the June 19-26 window.** Recent weeks show him averaging roughly 25-35 tweets daily when focused on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, placing the 180-239 range in the lead at roughly 53% combined implied probability. The closely bunched 160-179, 200-219, and 220-239 buckets reflect trader uncertainty over whether the post-SpaceX IPO momentum and any fresh merger speculation with Tesla will trigger the kind of sustained commentary spikes seen in prior high-news cycles. Key swing factors include potential Starship updates, regulatory headlines, or viral cultural debates that historically lift daily volume above 40 tweets. With no single blockbuster event locked in for the exact period, the market prices a steady but not explosive week of engagement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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