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icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

icon for Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 49.5%

Austrália 20.9%

Grécia 7.0%

Romênia 5.7%

Polymarket

$169,819,123 Vol.

Finlândia 49.5%

Austrália 20.9%

Grécia 7.0%

Romênia 5.7%

Polymarket

$169,819,123 Vol.

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$5,013,941 Vol.

50%

icon for Austrália

Austrália

$3,280,767 Vol.

21%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$4,159,791 Vol.

7%

icon for Romênia

Romênia

$3,179,265 Vol.

6%

icon for Israel

Israel

$3,275,192 Vol.

6%

icon for Bulgária

Bulgária

$3,900,627 Vol.

4%

icon for Dinamarca

Dinamarca

$2,766,045 Vol.

3%

icon for Itália

Itália

$4,106,648 Vol.

2%

icon for França

França

$3,556,976 Vol.

1%

icon for Croácia

Croácia

$5,035,786 Vol.

1%

icon for Chéquia

Chéquia

$2,476,473 Vol.

1%

icon for Moldávia

Moldávia

$4,392,569 Vol.

1%

icon for Suécia

Suécia

$2,357,355 Vol.

1%

icon for Ucrânia

Ucrânia

$3,122,223 Vol.

1%

icon for Albânia

Albânia

$7,090,376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Malta

Malta

$3,473,695 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chipre

Chipre

$3,547,474 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sérvia

Sérvia

$6,074,420 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$5,192,559 Vol.

<1%

icon for Polônia

Polônia

$7,324,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$7,534,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$5,105,924 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$4,066,015 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lituânia

Lituânia

$5,704,416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Reino Unido

Reino Unido

$4,047,977 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 50.3% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their electrifying First Semi-Final performance featuring Lampenius's live violin shredding—granted special EBU permission after persistent rehearsals embodying Finnish sisu—which topped OGAE fan polls and extended their bookie lead post-rehearsals. Australia's Delta Goodrem solidified second at 20.6% with a note-perfect "Eclipse" in the Second Semi-Final yesterday, qualifying amid strong televote buzz from her star power. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds third on surging momentum, while Israel's qualification persists despite boycotts. With the Grand Final tomorrow in Vienna, jury-televote splits and last-minute stagings could spark upsets in this volatile contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$169,819,123
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 50.3% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their electrifying First Semi-Final performance featuring Lampenius's live violin shredding—granted special EBU permission after persistent rehearsals embodying Finnish sisu—which topped OGAE fan polls and extended their bookie lead post-rehearsals. Australia's Delta Goodrem solidified second at 20.6% with a note-perfect "Eclipse" in the Second Semi-Final yesterday, qualifying amid strong televote buzz from her star power. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds third on surging momentum, while Israel's qualification persists despite boycotts. With the Grand Final tomorrow in Vienna, jury-televote splits and last-minute stagings could spark upsets in this volatile contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$169,819,123
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 50%, followed by "Austrália" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $169.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austrália" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.