Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 50.3% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their electrifying First Semi-Final performance featuring Lampenius's live violin shredding—granted special EBU permission after persistent rehearsals embodying Finnish sisu—which topped OGAE fan polls and extended their bookie lead post-rehearsals. Australia's Delta Goodrem solidified second at 20.6% with a note-perfect "Eclipse" in the Second Semi-Final yesterday, qualifying amid strong televote buzz from her star power. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds third on surging momentum, while Israel's qualification persists despite boycotts. With the Grand Final tomorrow in Vienna, jury-televote splits and last-minute stagings could spark upsets in this volatile contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 49.5%
Austrália 20.9%
Grécia 7.0%
Romênia 5.7%
$169,819,123 Vol.
$169,819,123 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
21%

Grécia
7%

Romênia
6%

Israel
6%

Bulgária
4%

Dinamarca
3%

Itália
2%

França
1%

Croácia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Albânia
<1%

Malta
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
Finlândia 49.5%
Austrália 20.9%
Grécia 7.0%
Romênia 5.7%
$169,819,123 Vol.
$169,819,123 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
21%

Grécia
7%

Romênia
6%

Israel
6%

Bulgária
4%

Dinamarca
3%

Itália
2%

França
1%

Croácia
1%

Chéquia
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Ucrânia
1%

Albânia
<1%

Malta
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" commands a dominant 50.3% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by their electrifying First Semi-Final performance featuring Lampenius's live violin shredding—granted special EBU permission after persistent rehearsals embodying Finnish sisu—which topped OGAE fan polls and extended their bookie lead post-rehearsals. Australia's Delta Goodrem solidified second at 20.6% with a note-perfect "Eclipse" in the Second Semi-Final yesterday, qualifying amid strong televote buzz from her star power. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto") holds third on surging momentum, while Israel's qualification persists despite boycotts. With the Grand Final tomorrow in Vienna, jury-televote splits and last-minute stagings could spark upsets in this volatile contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions