Finland's commanding position stems from months of consistent frontrunner status for "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has surged further after strong rehearsals and a favorable 17th-slot draw in Vienna's grand final. Traders view the track's polished staging and broad jury appeal as decisive, especially against a field where televote-driven surprises remain possible. Australia has climbed to second place following Delta Goodrem's solid semi-final showing with "Eclipse," though it trails significantly in overall consensus. Lower contenders like Greece and Bulgaria sit further back due to more modest rehearsal feedback and limited momentum in recent previews. With the final set for tomorrow, late shifts in jury or televote sentiment could still reshape the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor do Eurovisão 2026
Finlândia 50.0%
Austrália 25.0%
Grécia 5.9%
Bulgária 5.6%
$172,939,778 Vol.
$172,939,778 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
25%

Grécia
6%

Bulgária
6%

Romênia
5%

Israel
4%

Dinamarca
2%

Itália
1%

França
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Croácia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Malta
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
Finlândia 50.0%
Austrália 25.0%
Grécia 5.9%
Bulgária 5.6%
$172,939,778 Vol.
$172,939,778 Vol.

Finlândia
50%

Austrália
25%

Grécia
6%

Bulgária
6%

Romênia
5%

Israel
4%

Dinamarca
2%

Itália
1%

França
1%

Moldávia
1%

Suécia
1%

Croácia
<1%

Ucrânia
<1%

Albânia
<1%

Chéquia
<1%

Chipre
<1%

Malta
<1%

Polônia
<1%

Sérvia
<1%

Áustria
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Alemanha
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Lituânia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's commanding position stems from months of consistent frontrunner status for "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which has surged further after strong rehearsals and a favorable 17th-slot draw in Vienna's grand final. Traders view the track's polished staging and broad jury appeal as decisive, especially against a field where televote-driven surprises remain possible. Australia has climbed to second place following Delta Goodrem's solid semi-final showing with "Eclipse," though it trails significantly in overall consensus. Lower contenders like Greece and Bulgaria sit further back due to more modest rehearsal feedback and limited momentum in recent previews. With the final set for tomorrow, late shifts in jury or televote sentiment could still reshape the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions