Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on July 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 5?
92-93°F 30%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5.9%
NOVO
NOVO
5 jul 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 30%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 16%
96-97°F 5.9%
NOVO
NOVO
5 jul 2026
83°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$61 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$61 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$8 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$110 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$6 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$41 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$293Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$293Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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