Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a slight cooldown on September 21 under increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms driven by a weakening subtropical high and approaching moisture, with consensus highs clustered near 33–35 °C. Diurnal heating before afternoon convection remains the key variable: earlier or lighter rain would allow peaks to reach 35–36 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the maximum closer to 34 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance notes 33–35 °C for the region amid 60–80 % rain probability, and historical September analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 36 °C once widespread showers develop. Traders appear to price this narrow scientific uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 21 de setembro?
35°C 34%
36°C 33%
34°C 18%
37°C ou mais 9%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
18%
35°C
34%
36°C
33%
37°C ou mais
9%
35°C 34%
36°C 33%
34°C 18%
37°C ou mais 9%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
27°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$266 Vol.
1%
31°C
$8 Vol.
2%
32°C
$104 Vol.
3%
33°C
$62 Vol.
6%
34°C
$524 Vol.
18%
35°C
$360 Vol.
34%
36°C
$380 Vol.
33%
37°C ou mais
$837 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a slight cooldown on September 21 under increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms driven by a weakening subtropical high and approaching moisture, with consensus highs clustered near 33–35 °C. Diurnal heating before afternoon convection remains the key variable: earlier or lighter rain would allow peaks to reach 35–36 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the maximum closer to 34 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance notes 33–35 °C for the region amid 60–80 % rain probability, and historical September analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 36 °C once widespread showers develop. Traders appear to price this narrow scientific uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,030Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a slight cooldown on September 21 under increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms driven by a weakening subtropical high and approaching moisture, with consensus highs clustered near 33–35 °C. Diurnal heating before afternoon convection remains the key variable: earlier or lighter rain would allow peaks to reach 35–36 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the maximum closer to 34 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance notes 33–35 °C for the region amid 60–80 % rain probability, and historical September analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 36 °C once widespread showers develop. Traders appear to price this narrow scientific uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,030Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a slight cooldown on September 21 under increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms driven by a weakening subtropical high and approaching moisture, with consensus highs clustered near 33–35 °C. Diurnal heating before afternoon convection remains the key variable: earlier or lighter rain would allow peaks to reach 35–36 °C, while heavier or earlier precipitation could suppress the maximum closer to 34 °C. Official Chinese meteorological guidance notes 33–35 °C for the region amid 60–80 % rain probability, and historical September analogs show similar setups rarely exceed 36 °C once widespread showers develop. Traders appear to price this narrow scientific uncertainty between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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