**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 22 indicate a subtropical pattern with daytime highs near 31–33°C and overnight lows around 26–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** Model consensus points to limited radiative cooling under cloudy, moist conditions, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with recent September norms but above the long-term average low near 24°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on both unusually cool outcomes (21°C or below) and persistently warm nights (31°C or higher), likely reflecting uncertainty in rain timing, cloud cover, and steering patterns that could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering flows or convective activity shift the expected minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 22 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 95%
31°C ou mais 95%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C ou menos
95%
22°C
16%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C ou mais
95%
21°C ou menos 95%
31°C ou mais 95%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C ou menos
95%
22°C
16%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C ou mais
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 22 indicate a subtropical pattern with daytime highs near 31–33°C and overnight lows around 26–28°C amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** Model consensus points to limited radiative cooling under cloudy, moist conditions, keeping the daily minimum in the mid-20s Celsius, consistent with recent September norms but above the long-term average low near 24°C. Trader sentiment remains split, with substantial implied probability on both unusually cool outcomes (21°C or below) and persistently warm nights (31°C or higher), likely reflecting uncertainty in rain timing, cloud cover, and steering patterns that could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Official updates from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will clarify whether steering flows or convective activity shift the expected minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions