Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 21 de maio?
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,483 Vol.
$31,483 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 25%
22°C 24%
25°C 7%
$31,483 Vol.
$31,483 Vol.
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
24%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a highest temperature near 23°C in London today under a weak Atlantic ridge that has replaced the southerly flow behind the 26.6°C reading at Kew Gardens on May 19. This pattern favors increased cloud cover and reduced surface insolation, holding daytime maxima close to late-May climatological norms while limiting upside risk from transient clear breaks. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly between 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes ahead of official verification at London City Airport. Traders appear to be weighting short-range forecast stability over historical spring variability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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