**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 12 de agosto?
35°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Sim
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C ou mais
Não
35°C 100.0%
28°C ou menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
$451 Vol.
Não
29°C
$331 Vol.
Não
30°C
$1,245 Vol.
Não
31°C
$1,912 Vol.
Não
32°C
$11,595 Vol.
Não
33°C
$1,113 Vol.
Não
34°C
$1,859 Vol.
Não
35°C
$5,414 Vol.
Sim
36°C
$6,245 Vol.
Não
37°C
$7,175 Vol.
Não
38°C ou mais
$4,442 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,782Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,782Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions