Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by the receding southwest monsoon, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 34–35°C amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels of 60–75%. The market's 58% implied probability for exactly 34°C reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower odds for 35°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty from scattered thunderstorm chances and minor model spread. Historical September maxima average near 33°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. Updated short-range runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 22 de setembro?
34°C 58%
33°C 30%
35°C 13%
32°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
30%
34°C
58%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
34°C 58%
33°C 30%
35°C 13%
32°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
28°C ou menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$32 Vol.
1%
32°C
$241 Vol.
3%
33°C
$741 Vol.
30%
34°C
$1,688 Vol.
58%
35°C
$521 Vol.
13%
36°C
$220 Vol.
2%
37°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by the receding southwest monsoon, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 34–35°C amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels of 60–75%. The market's 58% implied probability for exactly 34°C reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower odds for 35°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty from scattered thunderstorm chances and minor model spread. Historical September maxima average near 33°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. Updated short-range runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,963Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by the receding southwest monsoon, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 34–35°C amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels of 60–75%. The market's 58% implied probability for exactly 34°C reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower odds for 35°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty from scattered thunderstorm chances and minor model spread. Historical September maxima average near 33°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. Updated short-range runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,963Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models project a maximum temperature of 34–36°C in Lucknow on September 22, driven by the receding southwest monsoon, reduced cloud cover, and light northeasterly winds that limit cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 34–35°C amid typical late-monsoon humidity levels of 60–75%. The market's 58% implied probability for exactly 34°C reflects this tight clustering of guidance, while lower odds for 35°C or 33°C capture residual uncertainty from scattered thunderstorm chances and minor model spread. Historical September maxima average near 33°C, providing climatological context for the current positioning. Updated short-range runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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