AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 12 de agosto?
38°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,504 Vol.
$102,504 Vol.
12 ago 2026
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,504 Vol.
$102,504 Vol.
12 ago 2026
33°C or below
$13,375 Vol.
No
34°C
$417 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,093 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,588 Vol.
No
37°C
$13,572 Vol.
No
38°C
$25,597 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$16,936 Vol.
No
40°C
$16,075 Vol.
No
41°C
$7,028 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,754 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$1,069 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$102,504Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$102,504Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions