Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF-influenced models, and agencies like the UK Met Office converge on daytime highs of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 19 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds favoring strong solar heating. Preceding days with readings near 37–38°C reflect ongoing summer warmth and heatwave influences across central Spain, elevating the baseline without extreme amplification. Model agreement remains high on minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though minor steering variations or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, pricing 36°C highest while assigning lower probability to cooler or hotter outliers based on the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 19 de agosto?
36°C 49%
37°C 28%
35°C 21%
38°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
21%
36°C
49%
37°C
28%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 28%
35°C 21%
38°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
32°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$15 Vol.
4%
35°C
$51 Vol.
21%
36°C
$105 Vol.
49%
37°C
$44 Vol.
28%
38°C
$8 Vol.
9%
39°C
$28 Vol.
1%
40°C
$5 Vol.
3%
41°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF-influenced models, and agencies like the UK Met Office converge on daytime highs of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 19 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds favoring strong solar heating. Preceding days with readings near 37–38°C reflect ongoing summer warmth and heatwave influences across central Spain, elevating the baseline without extreme amplification. Model agreement remains high on minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though minor steering variations or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, pricing 36°C highest while assigning lower probability to cooler or hotter outliers based on the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$271Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF-influenced models, and agencies like the UK Met Office converge on daytime highs of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 19 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds favoring strong solar heating. Preceding days with readings near 37–38°C reflect ongoing summer warmth and heatwave influences across central Spain, elevating the baseline without extreme amplification. Model agreement remains high on minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though minor steering variations or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, pricing 36°C highest while assigning lower probability to cooler or hotter outliers based on the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$271Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF-influenced models, and agencies like the UK Met Office converge on daytime highs of 35–36°C in Madrid on August 19 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds favoring strong solar heating. Preceding days with readings near 37–38°C reflect ongoing summer warmth and heatwave influences across central Spain, elevating the baseline without extreme amplification. Model agreement remains high on minimal cloud cover or precipitation, though minor steering variations or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, pricing 36°C highest while assigning lower probability to cooler or hotter outliers based on the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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