Mexico City's elevation of 2,240 meters and typical mid-August rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and precipitation, produced a daily maximum of 26°C on August 15, 2026, as confirmed by surface observations. Numerical weather model consensus had consistently placed the high near the 26–27°C threshold, reflecting normal seasonal baselines around 23–25°C without anomalous warming. This alignment with verified measurements from monitoring networks underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Only a significant revision in official daily records or an undetected microclimate spike could alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 15 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,200 Vol.
$18,200 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$18,200 Vol.
$18,200 Vol.
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Mexico City's elevation of 2,240 meters and typical mid-August rainy-season conditions, including afternoon cloud cover and precipitation, produced a daily maximum of 26°C on August 15, 2026, as confirmed by surface observations. Numerical weather model consensus had consistently placed the high near the 26–27°C threshold, reflecting normal seasonal baselines around 23–25°C without anomalous warming. This alignment with verified measurements from monitoring networks underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Only a significant revision in official daily records or an undetected microclimate spike could alter resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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