Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 16 de julho?
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jul 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
38%
33°C
24%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
34°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jul 2026
29°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
30°C
$224 Vol.
3%
31°C
$514 Vol.
26%
32°C
$490 Vol.
38%
33°C
$1,415 Vol.
24%
34°C
$1,735 Vol.
10%
35°C
$377 Vol.
2%
36°C
$566 Vol.
1%
37°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,964 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,103Data de Término
16 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,103Data de Término
16 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from major models show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 31–34°C for central Paris on July 16, with the 32–33°C range capturing the highest probability density because of modest model spread in boundary-layer heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Recent upstream observations indicate limited moisture advection and light winds that favor clear-sky insolation without strong diurnal mixing, keeping the daily peak narrowly constrained. Historical July climatology places the 95th-percentile maximum near 30–31°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly whose exact magnitude hinges on small differences in cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures in the final model runs before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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