Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 20 de agosto?
32°C 50%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
36%
32°C
50%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 7%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
36%
32°C
50%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo city highs near 30–31°C on August 20, 2026, driven by a persistent high-pressure system sustaining above-average warmth during the southern winter heat wave. This setup supports the market’s tight clustering around 31–32°C outcomes. An approaching cold front from the south, noted in regional guidance, introduces modest uncertainty by potentially enhancing cloud cover or bringing slightly cooler air to the metropolitan area by late in the day. Historical August maxima average near 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a notable positive anomaly, though model consensus remains stable without major revisions in the past 48 hours. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local agency runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions