Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers over Tokyo on August 19, moderating peak heating relative to seasonal norms near 31°C. This setup, driven by a weakening Pacific High and increased moisture, favors daily maxima clustering around 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Above-normal summer temperatures continue across Honshu, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation reduce the odds of 33°C+ while keeping sub-29°C scenarios unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders assessing intensification or further suppression.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 19 de agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 18%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
25°C or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$110 Vol.
1%
28°C
$188 Vol.
2%
29°C
$138 Vol.
9%
30°C
$89 Vol.
27%
31°C
$225 Vol.
37%
32°C
$85 Vol.
18%
33°C
$333 Vol.
5%
34°C
$10 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers over Tokyo on August 19, moderating peak heating relative to seasonal norms near 31°C. This setup, driven by a weakening Pacific High and increased moisture, favors daily maxima clustering around 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Above-normal summer temperatures continue across Honshu, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation reduce the odds of 33°C+ while keeping sub-29°C scenarios unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders assessing intensification or further suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,414Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers over Tokyo on August 19, moderating peak heating relative to seasonal norms near 31°C. This setup, driven by a weakening Pacific High and increased moisture, favors daily maxima clustering around 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Above-normal summer temperatures continue across Honshu, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation reduce the odds of 33°C+ while keeping sub-29°C scenarios unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders assessing intensification or further suppression.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,414Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and model consensus point to mostly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers over Tokyo on August 19, moderating peak heating relative to seasonal norms near 31°C. This setup, driven by a weakening Pacific High and increased moisture, favors daily maxima clustering around 30–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Above-normal summer temperatures continue across Honshu, yet short-term cloud cover and precipitation reduce the odds of 33°C+ while keeping sub-29°C scenarios unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs through the weekend will provide the next key data points for traders assessing intensification or further suppression.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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