Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover and the likely onset of Shanghai's plum rain season on June 18 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C. Overcast skies reduce solar heating and evapotranspiration, while elevated humidity and possible showers further moderate peak temperatures near historical mid-June averages. Minor differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble runs create the tight spread between the top three outcomes, with any break in clouds or delayed precipitation offering the clearest path to a higher daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
28°C 38%
27°C 29%
29°C 24%
26°C 4.5%
NOVO
$41,318 Vol.
NOVO
$41,318 Vol.
18 jun 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
29%
28°C
38%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 29%
29°C 24%
26°C 4.5%
NOVO
$41,318 Vol.
NOVO
$41,318 Vol.
18 jun 2026
24°C or below
$3,499 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,244 Vol.
3%
26°C
$6,829 Vol.
4%
27°C
$8,778 Vol.
29%
28°C
$4,368 Vol.
38%
29°C
$2,915 Vol.
24%
30°C
$3,176 Vol.
4%
31°C
$2,231 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,971 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,746 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,703 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover and the likely onset of Shanghai's plum rain season on June 18 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C. Overcast skies reduce solar heating and evapotranspiration, while elevated humidity and possible showers further moderate peak temperatures near historical mid-June averages. Minor differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble runs create the tight spread between the top three outcomes, with any break in clouds or delayed precipitation offering the clearest path to a higher daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$41,318Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover and the likely onset of Shanghai's plum rain season on June 18 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C. Overcast skies reduce solar heating and evapotranspiration, while elevated humidity and possible showers further moderate peak temperatures near historical mid-June averages. Minor differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble runs create the tight spread between the top three outcomes, with any break in clouds or delayed precipitation offering the clearest path to a higher daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,318Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological models points to persistent cloud cover and the likely onset of Shanghai's plum rain season on June 18 as the main driver keeping market-implied odds clustered around 27–29°C. Overcast skies reduce solar heating and evapotranspiration, while elevated humidity and possible showers further moderate peak temperatures near historical mid-June averages. Minor differences in predicted rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble runs create the tight spread between the top three outcomes, with any break in clouds or delayed precipitation offering the clearest path to a higher daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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