Recent short-range forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 34°C trailing at 18% amid minor model variability in peak heating. Sea-breeze moderation and absence of heatwave signals limit upside risk, while updated runs ahead of final observations continue to narrow the expected range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 21 de agosto?
33°C 68%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
15%
33°C
68%
34°C
18%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 68%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
29°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$337 Vol.
1%
31°C
$34 Vol.
2%
32°C
$70 Vol.
15%
33°C
$239 Vol.
68%
34°C
$96 Vol.
18%
35°C
$72 Vol.
3%
36°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 34°C trailing at 18% amid minor model variability in peak heating. Sea-breeze moderation and absence of heatwave signals limit upside risk, while updated runs ahead of final observations continue to narrow the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,472Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 34°C trailing at 18% amid minor model variability in peak heating. Sea-breeze moderation and absence of heatwave signals limit upside risk, while updated runs ahead of final observations continue to narrow the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,472Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast consensus from regional models and agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of mid-August Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with climatological averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations, underpin the market's strong tilt toward 33°C at 66.5% implied probability, with 34°C trailing at 18% amid minor model variability in peak heating. Sea-breeze moderation and absence of heatwave signals limit upside risk, while updated runs ahead of final observations continue to narrow the expected range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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