Recent forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office models positions 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum for Warsaw on August 8, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble runs indicate partly sunny skies with light winds, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 23 °C while suppressing stronger advection of warm air. Traders have incorporated the latest model updates showing minimal risk of exceeding 25 °C or falling below 22 °C, with resolution based on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport. Further model runs and any revisions to the steering pattern ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 8 de agosto?
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
16%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
14%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
22°C 16%
25°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$19 Vol.
1%
21°C
$105 Vol.
2%
22°C
$7 Vol.
16%
23°C
$21 Vol.
40%
24°C
$5 Vol.
29%
25°C
$57 Vol.
14%
26°C
$13 Vol.
2%
27°C
$34 Vol.
2%
28°C
$66 Vol.
1%
29°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$537 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office models positions 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum for Warsaw on August 8, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble runs indicate partly sunny skies with light winds, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 23 °C while suppressing stronger advection of warm air. Traders have incorporated the latest model updates showing minimal risk of exceeding 25 °C or falling below 22 °C, with resolution based on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport. Further model runs and any revisions to the steering pattern ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$974Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office models positions 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum for Warsaw on August 8, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble runs indicate partly sunny skies with light winds, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 23 °C while suppressing stronger advection of warm air. Traders have incorporated the latest model updates showing minimal risk of exceeding 25 °C or falling below 22 °C, with resolution based on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport. Further model runs and any revisions to the steering pattern ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$974Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office models positions 23–24 °C as the most probable maximum for Warsaw on August 8, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating after hotter conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble runs indicate partly sunny skies with light winds, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 23 °C while suppressing stronger advection of warm air. Traders have incorporated the latest model updates showing minimal risk of exceeding 25 °C or falling below 22 °C, with resolution based on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport. Further model runs and any revisions to the steering pattern ahead of the date remain the key variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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