Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a partly cloudy day with a minimum of 25°C, consistent with typical midsummer overnight lows near 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Trader consensus clustering at 26–27°C reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, where light winds, persistent moisture, and potential cloud cover could limit radiative heat loss and keep readings above seasonal averages. Key variables include evolving steering patterns and any last-minute revisions from official monitoring, which could shift outcomes toward the lower-probability 25°C threshold if clearer skies develop overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 8 de agosto?
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 3%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
46%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
26°C 47%
27°C 46%
24°C 8%
25°C 3%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
47%
27°C
46%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 8 project a partly cloudy day with a minimum of 25°C, consistent with typical midsummer overnight lows near 24–26°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Trader consensus clustering at 26–27°C reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates, where light winds, persistent moisture, and potential cloud cover could limit radiative heat loss and keep readings above seasonal averages. Key variables include evolving steering patterns and any last-minute revisions from official monitoring, which could shift outcomes toward the lower-probability 25°C threshold if clearer skies develop overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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