Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting European model runs indicate a cooldown in Île-de-France, positioning a 25–26°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 6 amid largely sunny skies and lighter winds following earlier heat. This reflects a shift from transient high pressure and warmer advection that produced peaks near 30–37°C earlier in the week toward more moderate Atlantic-influenced conditions limiting afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with climatological August maxima near 24–25°C, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings at the day’s maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 6 de agosto?
25°C 51%
26°C 35%
27°C 10%
24°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
51%
26°C
35%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 35%
27°C 10%
24°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$852 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$520 Vol.
2%
24°C
$839 Vol.
6%
25°C
$1,542 Vol.
51%
26°C
$1,124 Vol.
35%
27°C
$722 Vol.
10%
28°C
$634 Vol.
2%
29°C
$706 Vol.
1%
30°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting European model runs indicate a cooldown in Île-de-France, positioning a 25–26°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 6 amid largely sunny skies and lighter winds following earlier heat. This reflects a shift from transient high pressure and warmer advection that produced peaks near 30–37°C earlier in the week toward more moderate Atlantic-influenced conditions limiting afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with climatological August maxima near 24–25°C, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings at the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,742Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting European model runs indicate a cooldown in Île-de-France, positioning a 25–26°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 6 amid largely sunny skies and lighter winds following earlier heat. This reflects a shift from transient high pressure and warmer advection that produced peaks near 30–37°C earlier in the week toward more moderate Atlantic-influenced conditions limiting afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with climatological August maxima near 24–25°C, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings at the day’s maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,742Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts and supporting European model runs indicate a cooldown in Île-de-France, positioning a 25–26°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 6 amid largely sunny skies and lighter winds following earlier heat. This reflects a shift from transient high pressure and warmer advection that produced peaks near 30–37°C earlier in the week toward more moderate Atlantic-influenced conditions limiting afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with climatological August maxima near 24–25°C, though minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact peak by 1°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily, with resolution hinging on verified station readings at the day’s maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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