**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% implied probability because the sole recent high-profile entry denial—the UK Home Office's April 2026 rejection of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation over his documented antisemitic statements and prior controversies—has not been followed by comparable actions from other governments in the ensuing weeks.** With the June 30 deadline now only days away and no confirmed new visa applications, festival bookings, or official probes reported in major markets, the market reflects the low likelihood of another sovereign decision materializing on such a compressed timeline. Historical patterns show these exclusions typically stem from sustained public and political pressure rather than sudden developments. A realistic upset would require an unanticipated announcement, such as a last-minute European or Australian permit denial tied to renewed scrutiny, though nothing in the current news cycle indicates this trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$8,092 Vol.
$8,092 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$8,092 Vol.
$8,092 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% implied probability because the sole recent high-profile entry denial—the UK Home Office's April 2026 rejection of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation over his documented antisemitic statements and prior controversies—has not been followed by comparable actions from other governments in the ensuing weeks.** With the June 30 deadline now only days away and no confirmed new visa applications, festival bookings, or official probes reported in major markets, the market reflects the low likelihood of another sovereign decision materializing on such a compressed timeline. Historical patterns show these exclusions typically stem from sustained public and political pressure rather than sudden developments.
A realistic upset would require an unanticipated announcement, such as a last-minute European or Australian permit denial tied to renewed scrutiny, though nothing in the current news cycle indicates this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volume
$8,092Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% implied probability because the sole recent high-profile entry denial—the UK Home Office's April 2026 rejection of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation over his documented antisemitic statements and prior controversies—has not been followed by comparable actions from other governments in the ensuing weeks.** With the June 30 deadline now only days away and no confirmed new visa applications, festival bookings, or official probes reported in major markets, the market reflects the low likelihood of another sovereign decision materializing on such a compressed timeline. Historical patterns show these exclusions typically stem from sustained public and political pressure rather than sudden developments.
A realistic upset would require an unanticipated announcement, such as a last-minute European or Australian permit denial tied to renewed scrutiny, though nothing in the current news cycle indicates this trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,092Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 95% implied probability because the sole recent high-profile entry denial—the UK Home Office's April 2026 rejection of Ye's Electronic Travel Authorisation over his documented antisemitic statements and prior controversies—has not been followed by comparable actions from other governments in the ensuing weeks.** With the June 30 deadline now only days away and no confirmed new visa applications, festival bookings, or official probes reported in major markets, the market reflects the low likelihood of another sovereign decision materializing on such a compressed timeline. Historical patterns show these exclusions typically stem from sustained public and political pressure rather than sudden developments. A realistic upset would require an unanticipated announcement, such as a last-minute European or Australian permit denial tied to renewed scrutiny, though nothing in the current news cycle indicates this trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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