Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 17 de julho?
32°C ou mais 34%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
22°C ou menos
20%
23°C
15%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
32%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
25%
31°C
21%
32°C ou mais
34%
32°C ou mais 34%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
22°C ou menos
$35 Vol.
20%
23°C
$35 Vol.
15%
24°C
$35 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$10 Vol.
25%
31°C
$10 Vol.
21%
32°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate overnight minimum temperatures of 26–28°C for July 17 amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Recent daily minima in early July have clustered around 26°C, consistent with climatological averages, while the seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures has not yet translated into elevated overnight lows. Trader focus on the 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects model consensus on stable steering patterns and modest cloud cover, though any unexpected tropical disturbance or clearer skies could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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