Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 17 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 17 de julho?
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
31°C 25%
28°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
31°C 25%
28°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
25°C or below
$121 Vol.
1%
26°C
$310 Vol.
2%
27°C
$15 Vol.
8%
28°C
$4 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
27%
30°C
$5 Vol.
34%
31°C
$25 Vol.
19%
32°C
$91 Vol.
7%
33°C
$30 Vol.
3%
34°C
$41 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$175 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$813Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$813Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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