KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 14 de agosto?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
14 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
14 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$307 Vol.
Não
21°C
$574 Vol.
Não
22°C
$985 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,523 Vol.
Não
24°C
$3,412 Vol.
Não
25°C
$4,803 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$2,316 Vol.
Não
27°C
$1,181 Vol.
Não
28°C
$425 Vol.
Não
29°C
$396 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$328 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,247Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,247Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
KMA short-range forecasts and midday observations have locked trader consensus on a 25°C minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 14, with the market assigning near-certainty to this outcome. The agency’s official guidance projects a morning low of exactly 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity near 80%, consistent with mid-August regional climatology where overnight radiative cooling is limited by urban heat and moisture. Recent heatwave conditions have kept diurnal ranges compressed, but no model runs or station data indicate further drops below this threshold. A sudden convective shower or revised station reading could still shift the recorded minimum, though such developments appear improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions