**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2, 2026, near 25–26°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies.** Light northwest to southeast winds of 2–6 m/s, combined with high humidity (often 80–90% overnight), will moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 31–34°C. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the coastal Mediterranean location, where overnight lows typically fall to the mid-20s°C without strong synoptic disturbances. Multiple sources, including hourly guidance from YR.no and other numerical weather prediction outputs, show the temperature bottoming out between roughly 24–26°C in the pre-dawn hours, with minimal model spread on this short-range timeframe. The market-implied odds reflect this consensus: probabilities cluster around 50% across the 19–28°C range because traders see genuine uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum driven by small variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture, while the 3% chance assigned to 29°C or higher captures the low likelihood of unusually weak cooling. No recent developments—such as shifting pressure systems or anomalous sea-surface temperatures—have altered the baseline pattern in the past 48 hours.