Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 23 de julho?
29°C 43%
28°C 42%
27°C 12%
26°C 4.7%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
42%
29°C
43%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
29°C 43%
28°C 42%
27°C 12%
26°C 4.7%
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
42%
29°C
43%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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