Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity over Zhengzhou on September 20 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near 20°C according to multiple forecast models. Light northerly winds and saturated boundary-layer air further reduce temperature drops, consistent with observed afternoon readings around 22–24°C and historical September averages near 17°C lows. These conditions create a narrow range of plausible outcomes clustered around 19–21°C, explaining the tight market-implied probabilities between 20°C and nearby values while sharply discounting colder scenarios below 16°C. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 20 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 99%
19°C 49%
17°C 47%
18°C 47%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
15°C ou menos
99%
16°C
18%
17°C
47%
18°C
47%
19°C
49%
20°C
50%
21°C
23%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
15°C ou menos 99%
19°C 49%
17°C 47%
18°C 47%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
15°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
99%
16°C
$10 Vol.
18%
17°C
$42 Vol.
47%
18°C
$36 Vol.
47%
19°C
$1 Vol.
49%
20°C
$14 Vol.
50%
21°C
$38 Vol.
23%
22°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity over Zhengzhou on September 20 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near 20°C according to multiple forecast models. Light northerly winds and saturated boundary-layer air further reduce temperature drops, consistent with observed afternoon readings around 22–24°C and historical September averages near 17°C lows. These conditions create a narrow range of plausible outcomes clustered around 19–21°C, explaining the tight market-implied probabilities between 20°C and nearby values while sharply discounting colder scenarios below 16°C. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$336Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity over Zhengzhou on September 20 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near 20°C according to multiple forecast models. Light northerly winds and saturated boundary-layer air further reduce temperature drops, consistent with observed afternoon readings around 22–24°C and historical September averages near 17°C lows. These conditions create a narrow range of plausible outcomes clustered around 19–21°C, explaining the tight market-implied probabilities between 20°C and nearby values while sharply discounting colder scenarios below 16°C. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$336Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity over Zhengzhou on September 20 are limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near 20°C according to multiple forecast models. Light northerly winds and saturated boundary-layer air further reduce temperature drops, consistent with observed afternoon readings around 22–24°C and historical September averages near 17°C lows. These conditions create a narrow range of plausible outcomes clustered around 19–21°C, explaining the tight market-implied probabilities between 20°C and nearby values while sharply discounting colder scenarios below 16°C. Updated model runs and official observations through evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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