Cloud cover and widespread light rain across Zhengzhou on September 21 are suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below recent model guidance of 24–25 °C. Official forecasts highlight overcast skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and precipitation chances above 50 percent through the afternoon, conditions that historically cap highs 2–4 °C below clear-sky September averages of 26–29 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probabilities to 22 °C or below and 23–24 °C, consistent with the latest numerical guidance showing limited insolation and modest northwesterly flow. Updated model runs later today will determine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push toward 25 °C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 21 de setembro?
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
26°C 13%
22°C ou menos
42%
23°C
26%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C ou mais
2%
23°C 26%
24°C 23%
25°C 23%
26°C 13%
22°C ou menos
42%
23°C
26%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and widespread light rain across Zhengzhou on September 21 are suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below recent model guidance of 24–25 °C. Official forecasts highlight overcast skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and precipitation chances above 50 percent through the afternoon, conditions that historically cap highs 2–4 °C below clear-sky September averages of 26–29 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds assigns the highest probabilities to 22 °C or below and 23–24 °C, consistent with the latest numerical guidance showing limited insolation and modest northwesterly flow. Updated model runs later today will determine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push toward 25 °C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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