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icon for "Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria

"Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria

icon for "Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria

"Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

mai 18

>25mi 68%

22-25 milhões 30%

19-22 milhões 4%

<19 mi <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

>25mi 68%

22-25 milhões 30%

19-22 milhões 4%

<19 mi <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

<19 mi

$1,094 Vol.

<1%

19-22 milhões

$1,286 Vol.

4%

22-25 milhões

$1,187 Vol.

30%

>25mi

$2,866 Vol.

68%

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors "Michael" grossing over $25 million in its 4th domestic weekend (68% implied probability), propelled by exceptional legs following a modest 30% drop to $37.9 million in week 3 from 3,550 theaters, building a $242 million cume and surpassing $500 million worldwide. Strong midweek holds—including $4.7 million on Tuesday—signal sustained audience enthusiasm via word-of-mouth, outpacing critical pans and mirroring top biopic multipliers like Bohemian Rhapsody. The 22-25 million band (30%) reflects caution amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2 holdovers, with Friday tracking and Sunday estimates poised to refine projections before resolution.

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$6,424
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors "Michael" grossing over $25 million in its 4th domestic weekend (68% implied probability), propelled by exceptional legs following a modest 30% drop to $37.9 million in week 3 from 3,550 theaters, building a $242 million cume and surpassing $500 million worldwide. Strong midweek holds—including $4.7 million on Tuesday—signal sustained audience enthusiasm via word-of-mouth, outpacing critical pans and mirroring top biopic multipliers like Bohemian Rhapsody. The 22-25 million band (30%) reflects caution amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2 holdovers, with Friday tracking and Sunday estimates poised to refine projections before resolution.

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$6,424
Data de Término
18 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">25mi" at 68%, followed by "22-25 milhões" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

""Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on ""Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria" is ">25mi" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22-25 milhões" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Michael" 4º fim de semana de bilheteria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.