Skip to main content
icon for Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?

Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?

icon for Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?

Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?

O Filme Super Mario Galaxy 99.3%

Michael <1%

Mother Mary <1%

Wasteland Cop <1%

Polymarket

$253,597 Vol.

O Filme Super Mario Galaxy 99.3%

Michael <1%

Mother Mary <1%

Wasteland Cop <1%

Polymarket

$253,597 Vol.

O Filme Super Mario Galaxy

$33,156 Vol.

99%

Michael

$98,712 Vol.

1%

Mother Mary

$10,277 Vol.

<1%

Wasteland Cop

$54,349 Vol.

<1%

Você, Eu & Toscana

$27,107 Vol.

<1%

The Whistler

$22,207 Vol.

<1%

Lorne

$7,789 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$253,597
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$253,597
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O Filme Super Mario Galaxy" at 99%, followed by "Michael" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?" has generated $253.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?" is "O Filme Super Mario Galaxy" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Filme de abril com maior arrecadação doméstica em 31 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.