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icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Tech·Google

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Tech·Google

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

jul 31

jul 31

July 17 32.9%

July 14 20.7%

No release by July 31 11%

July 31 6.9%

Polymarket

$30,928 Vol.

July 17 32.9%

July 14 20.7%

No release by July 31 11%

July 31 6.9%

Polymarket

$30,928 Vol.

On or prior to July 1

$658 Vol.

2%

July 2

$476 Vol.

<1%

July 3

$404 Vol.

1%

July 4

$272 Vol.

1%

July 5

$272 Vol.

1%

July 6

$1,526 Vol.

2%

July 7

$277 Vol.

1%

July 8

$403 Vol.

4%

July 9

$1,735 Vol.

<1%

July 10

$303 Vol.

<1%

July 11

$460 Vol.

<1%

July 12

$421 Vol.

4%

July 13

$450 Vol.

<1%

July 14

$592 Vol.

21%

July 15

$380 Vol.

5%

July 16

$400 Vol.

3%

July 17

$8,107 Vol.

33%

July 18

$494 Vol.

1%

July 19

$597 Vol.

<1%

July 20

$307 Vol.

<1%

July 21

$513 Vol.

4%

July 22

$471 Vol.

2%

July 23

$478 Vol.

5%

July 24

$188 Vol.

1%

July 25

$437 Vol.

7%

July 26

$313 Vol.

1%

July 27

$453 Vol.

1%

July 28

$278 Vol.

1%

July 29

$394 Vol.

2%

July 30

$425 Vol.

2%

July 31

$827 Vol.

7%

No release by July 31

$7,616 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$30,928
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's I/O 2026 keynote in mid-May positioned Gemini 3.5 Pro for June general availability after shipping the lighter Flash variant immediately, yet the model remains in testing with no confirmed release by late June. This delay, amid internal validation for advanced reasoning, 2-million-token context, and "Deep Think" capabilities, has traders assigning a modest edge to no release by July 31. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models, plus Google's history of iterative previews before broad rollout, creates the tight clustering around July dates. Key swing factors include successful benchmark results or enterprise feedback that could accelerate availability, while supply-chain or safety reviews could push timelines further.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$30,928
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 17" at 33%, followed by "July 14" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" has generated $30.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" is "July 17" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 14" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.