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icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

icon for Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?
Tecnologia·IA

Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?

ago 31

ago 31

No release by August 31 84.2%

August 31 5.2%

August 27 5.0%

August 26 3.7%

Polymarket

$262,350 Vol.

No release by August 31 84.2%

August 31 5.2%

August 27 5.0%

August 26 3.7%

Polymarket

$262,350 Vol.

August 15

$2,979 Vol.

1%

August 16

$2,576 Vol.

<1%

August 17

$3,736 Vol.

1%

August 18

$3,923 Vol.

2%

August 19

$3,126 Vol.

3%

August 20

$2,766 Vol.

1%

August 21

$2,239 Vol.

2%

August 22

$2,664 Vol.

<1%

August 23

$1,934 Vol.

1%

August 24

$4,443 Vol.

2%

August 25

$5,369 Vol.

2%

August 26

$4,350 Vol.

4%

August 27

$8,547 Vol.

5%

August 28

$3,981 Vol.

1%

August 29

$4,785 Vol.

<1%

August 30

$2,298 Vol.

1%

August 31

$7,432 Vol.

5%

No release by August 31

$46,852 Vol.

84%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders heavily favor no Gemini Pro release by August 31 at 84.3% implied probability because Google’s flagship 3.5 Pro model has missed repeated internal targets since its May 2026 I/O announcement, with the latest July 21 updates limited to lighter Flash variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite. Persistent reports of performance shortfalls and extended partner testing have kept the Pro tier in “coming soon” status through mid-August, while Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13. This pattern of incremental non-Pro releases and references to Gemini 4 training reinforce the market’s view that a major Pro launch remains unlikely before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$262,350
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders heavily favor no Gemini Pro release by August 31 at 84.3% implied probability because Google’s flagship 3.5 Pro model has missed repeated internal targets since its May 2026 I/O announcement, with the latest July 21 updates limited to lighter Flash variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite. Persistent reports of performance shortfalls and extended partner testing have kept the Pro tier in “coming soon” status through mid-August, while Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13. This pattern of incremental non-Pro releases and references to Gemini 4 training reinforce the market’s view that a major Pro launch remains unlikely before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$262,350
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 32 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No release by August 31" at 84%, followed by "August 27" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" has generated $262.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?," browse the 32 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" is "No release by August 31" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 27" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Modelo do Google Gemini Pro lançado em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.