US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to federal custody in Brooklyn to face longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. As of mid-August 2026, Maduro remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date set in July proceedings, with no bail request filed and ongoing defense objections to the capture itself. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanism reflect the extended pretrial timeline, potential for plea negotiations or diplomatic interventions by Venezuela's interim government, and historical patterns in high-profile US extraterritorial cases, tempered by uncertainty over appeals or executive actions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$2,687,688 Vol.
31 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
7%
$2,687,688 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$292,239 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to federal custody in Brooklyn to face longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. As of mid-August 2026, Maduro remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date set in July proceedings, with no bail request filed and ongoing defense objections to the capture itself. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanism reflect the extended pretrial timeline, potential for plea negotiations or diplomatic interventions by Venezuela's interim government, and historical patterns in high-profile US extraterritorial cases, tempered by uncertainty over appeals or executive actions before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$2,687,688Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to federal custody in Brooklyn to face longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. As of mid-August 2026, Maduro remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date set in July proceedings, with no bail request filed and ongoing defense objections to the capture itself. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanism reflect the extended pretrial timeline, potential for plea negotiations or diplomatic interventions by Venezuela's interim government, and historical patterns in high-profile US extraterritorial cases, tempered by uncertainty over appeals or executive actions before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,687,688Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation, transferring them to federal custody in Brooklyn to face longstanding narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges to which they have pleaded not guilty. As of mid-August 2026, Maduro remains detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center pending a June 2027 trial date set in July proceedings, with no bail request filed and ongoing defense objections to the capture itself. Trader assessments of release timing or mechanism reflect the extended pretrial timeline, potential for plea negotiations or diplomatic interventions by Venezuela's interim government, and historical patterns in high-profile US extraterritorial cases, tempered by uncertainty over appeals or executive actions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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