Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with both having pleaded not guilty in initial court appearances. Acting Venezuelan authorities have continued to demand his immediate release, while diplomatic statements from countries including China and Belarus have called for his return. Key factors influencing any potential release include the pace of his ongoing trial in the Southern District of New York, possible plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy under the current administration, and broader diplomatic efforts to stabilize Venezuela. No trial date has been publicly confirmed, leaving the timeline for resolution uncertain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$2,631,415 Vol.
31 de dezembro
13%
$2,631,415 Vol.
31 de dezembro
13%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face federal charges including narco-terrorism and drug trafficking, with both having pleaded not guilty in initial court appearances. Acting Venezuelan authorities have continued to demand his immediate release, while diplomatic statements from countries including China and Belarus have called for his return. Key factors influencing any potential release include the pace of his ongoing trial in the Southern District of New York, possible plea negotiations, shifts in U.S. policy under the current administration, and broader diplomatic efforts to stabilize Venezuela. No trial date has been publicly confirmed, leaving the timeline for resolution uncertain.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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