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icon for Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

icon for Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?

$35,531 Vol.

28 fev 2026
Polymarket

$35,531 Vol.

Polymarket

60%+

$25,783 Vol.

58%

70%+

$9,748 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest GPT-5.5 Pro model currently leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 52.4 percent, building on GPT-5.4 Pro's March 2026 record of solving previously unsolved Tier 4 problems and achieving 38 percent on that hardest tier. Developed by Epoch AI with OpenAI funding, the benchmark features hundreds of original research-level math problems where OpenAI holds exclusive access to a subset of questions and solutions, giving its models a structural edge in evaluation. Recent benchmark reviews in May 2026 flagged potential errors in about one-third of problems, which could shift reported scores once corrected. Traders are watching for any GPT-6 preview or internal capability jumps before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this research-grade math benchmark could reinforce OpenAI's lead in advanced reasoning over competitors like Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,531
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest GPT-5.5 Pro model currently leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 52.4 percent, building on GPT-5.4 Pro's March 2026 record of solving previously unsolved Tier 4 problems and achieving 38 percent on that hardest tier. Developed by Epoch AI with OpenAI funding, the benchmark features hundreds of original research-level math problems where OpenAI holds exclusive access to a subset of questions and solutions, giving its models a structural edge in evaluation. Recent benchmark reviews in May 2026 flagged potential errors in about one-third of problems, which could shift reported scores once corrected. Traders are watching for any GPT-6 preview or internal capability jumps before the June 30 resolution, as even modest gains on this research-grade math benchmark could reinforce OpenAI's lead in advanced reasoning over competitors like Anthropic and Google.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$35,531
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "45%+" at 100%, followed by "50%+" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" has generated $35.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" is "45%+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "50%+" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pontuação OpenAI GPT no FrontierMath Benchmark até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.