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icon for Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Política·Vote Share

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Política·Vote Share

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

<10% 99.6%

10-15% <1%

25-30% <1%

35%+ <1%

Polymarket

$14,641 Vol.

<10% 99.6%

10-15% <1%

25-30% <1%

35%+ <1%

Polymarket

$14,641 Vol.

<10%

$7,693 Vol.

100%

10-15%

$1,553 Vol.

<1%

15-20%

$733 Vol.

<1%

20-25%

$1,062 Vol.

<1%

25-30%

$2,496 Vol.

<1%

30-35%

$688 Vol.

<1%

35%+

$415 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$14,641
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.The May 31, 2026 Colombian presidential first round delivered confirmed results placing Paloma Valencia at roughly 7 percent of the vote, well below 10 percent. Conservative voters consolidated behind Abelardo de la Espriella, whose tougher security platform drew support from the right-wing base amid ongoing concerns over armed groups. Valencia's campaign, backed by the Centro Democrático, struggled with internal divisions, a perceived lack of independence from former President Uribe, and failure to differentiate effectively from her main rival. Official tallies and rapid final counts have locked in this outcome, leaving only minor procedural steps such as full certification that are unlikely to alter the reported share. This result matches the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10 percent finish.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$14,641
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<10%" at 100%, followed by "10-15%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" has generated $14.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" is "<10%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10-15%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.