Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest ever, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has propelled its early domestic total past $480 million in the first week. This performance, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, Destin Daniel Cretton's direction, and MCU crossover appeal, positions the film for legs that support a $900 million-plus finish by August 31. Traders see the 900m+ outcome at 64% implied probability due to these factors outpacing historical Spider-Man benchmarks and 2026 competitors, though any sharper-than-expected drop-off remains a swing variable in the final three weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
900M+ 64.1%
800 - 900 milhões 33%
700 - 800 milhões <1%
<400 milhões <1%
$458,651 Vol.
$458,651 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
1%
800 - 900 milhões
33%
900M+
64%
900M+ 64.1%
800 - 900 milhões 33%
700 - 800 milhões <1%
<400 milhões <1%
$458,651 Vol.
$458,651 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
$5,909 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
$20,704 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
$25,353 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
$31,474 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
$32,335 Vol.
1%
800 - 900 milhões
$55,872 Vol.
33%
900M+
$287,003 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest ever, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has propelled its early domestic total past $480 million in the first week. This performance, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, Destin Daniel Cretton's direction, and MCU crossover appeal, positions the film for legs that support a $900 million-plus finish by August 31. Traders see the 900m+ outcome at 64% implied probability due to these factors outpacing historical Spider-Man benchmarks and 2026 competitors, though any sharper-than-expected drop-off remains a swing variable in the final three weeks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$458,651Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest ever, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has propelled its early domestic total past $480 million in the first week. This performance, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, Destin Daniel Cretton's direction, and MCU crossover appeal, positions the film for legs that support a $900 million-plus finish by August 31. Traders see the 900m+ outcome at 64% implied probability due to these factors outpacing historical Spider-Man benchmarks and 2026 competitors, though any sharper-than-expected drop-off remains a swing variable in the final three weeks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$458,651Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend, the largest ever, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has propelled its early domestic total past $480 million in the first week. This performance, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, Destin Daniel Cretton's direction, and MCU crossover appeal, positions the film for legs that support a $900 million-plus finish by August 31. Traders see the 900m+ outcome at 64% implied probability due to these factors outpacing historical Spider-Man benchmarks and 2026 competitors, though any sharper-than-expected drop-off remains a swing variable in the final three weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions