Poor critical reception and dismal Thursday previews of just $850K have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller. Rotten Tomatoes scores in the mid-30s to low-40s range prompted repeated downward revisions from earlier $18–23 million tracking to current estimates of $10–14 million or lower, compounded by stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdovers and Coyote vs. Acme. The late-August counterprogramming slot, mixed-to-negative reviews, and limited presales have further eroded momentum for the Jacob Elordi–led 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8 million-plus range would require markedly stronger-than-expected Friday and Saturday audience turnout fueled by positive word-of-mouth, a scenario traders view as highly improbable given current indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de abertura do fim de semana de "The Dog Stars"
<8m 97.2%
8-9 milhões 1.9%
9-10 milhões <1%
10-11 milhões <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
<8m
97%
8-9 milhões
2%
9-10 milhões
1%
10-11 milhões
<1%
11-12 milhões
<1%
12 milhões+
<1%
<8m 97.2%
8-9 milhões 1.9%
9-10 milhões <1%
10-11 milhões <1%
$34,051 Vol.
$34,051 Vol.
<8m
97%
8-9 milhões
2%
9-10 milhões
1%
10-11 milhões
<1%
11-12 milhões
<1%
12 milhões+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Poor critical reception and dismal Thursday previews of just $850K have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a sub-$8 million domestic opening for Ridley Scott’s post-apocalyptic thriller. Rotten Tomatoes scores in the mid-30s to low-40s range prompted repeated downward revisions from earlier $18–23 million tracking to current estimates of $10–14 million or lower, compounded by stiff competition from Spider-Man: Brand New Day holdovers and Coyote vs. Acme. The late-August counterprogramming slot, mixed-to-negative reviews, and limited presales have further eroded momentum for the Jacob Elordi–led 20th Century Studios release. An upset into the $8 million-plus range would require markedly stronger-than-expected Friday and Saturday audience turnout fueled by positive word-of-mouth, a scenario traders view as highly improbable given current indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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