**Todd Blanche, confirmed as U.S. Attorney General in August 2026 after serving as acting AG and deputy, faces multiple ethics complaints filed with New York’s Attorney Grievance Committee, primarily in May and June 2026.** These include a 70-plus-page submission by 101 former judges and advocacy groups alleging conflicts of interest in an IRS settlement case, mishandling of Epstein files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, and politically motivated DOJ actions. A federal judge separately referred aspects of his conduct to the New York bar in July 2026. New York bar disciplinary proceedings typically involve lengthy investigations, hearings, and appeals that rarely produce disbarment or suspension within months of a complaint. No final disciplinary action has been reported as of September 2026, and Blanche remains licensed and active. The compressed timeline remaining in 2026 further reduces the likelihood of resolution before year-end. Traders assign 96.5% probability to “No” because grievance committees prioritize established violations over contested political allegations, and historical precedent shows such outcomes against senior federal officials are uncommon without prior court findings of professional misconduct. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an expedited committee investigation triggered by additional adverse court rulings before December 31, 2026, or documented evidence of clear rule violations (such as Rules 1.7, 1.9, or 8.4) leading to interim suspension. Absent those developments, the current trader consensus reflects the procedural barriers and limited time window.