OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and private-market valuations reaching $850 billion by March 2026 anchor trader expectations for a debut priced between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Recent funding rounds at $730–$852 billion post-money levels, combined with revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, support the market-implied odds clustering in that range, while ongoing operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue highlight the elevated multiples required. Sentiment remains balanced because potential delays into 2027, competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility introduce uncertainty around exact pricing thresholds. Upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates and broader equity market conditions that could shift implied probabilities across the $1–2 trillion bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 18%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,238 Vol.
$62,238 Vol.
1 jul 2027
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
18%
$1.25T–$1.5T
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
9%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.7%
$1.0T–$1.25T 18%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$62,238 Vol.
$62,238 Vol.
1 jul 2027
<$1T
$4,392 Vol.
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$7,139 Vol.
18%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$4,857 Vol.
23%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$3,395 Vol.
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$9,790 Vol.
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$1,998 Vol.
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$1,955 Vol.
9%
$2.5T+
$28,712 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and private-market valuations reaching $850 billion by March 2026 anchor trader expectations for a debut priced between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Recent funding rounds at $730–$852 billion post-money levels, combined with revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, support the market-implied odds clustering in that range, while ongoing operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue highlight the elevated multiples required. Sentiment remains balanced because potential delays into 2027, competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility introduce uncertainty around exact pricing thresholds. Upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates and broader equity market conditions that could shift implied probabilities across the $1–2 trillion bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$62,238Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and private-market valuations reaching $850 billion by March 2026 anchor trader expectations for a debut priced between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Recent funding rounds at $730–$852 billion post-money levels, combined with revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, support the market-implied odds clustering in that range, while ongoing operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue highlight the elevated multiples required. Sentiment remains balanced because potential delays into 2027, competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility introduce uncertainty around exact pricing thresholds. Upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates and broader equity market conditions that could shift implied probabilities across the $1–2 trillion bands.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,238Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026 and private-market valuations reaching $850 billion by March 2026 anchor trader expectations for a debut priced between $1.0 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Recent funding rounds at $730–$852 billion post-money levels, combined with revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs, support the market-implied odds clustering in that range, while ongoing operating losses exceeding $1 per dollar of revenue highlight the elevated multiples required. Sentiment remains balanced because potential delays into 2027, competitive pressures from Anthropic and Google, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility introduce uncertainty around exact pricing thresholds. Upcoming catalysts include any pre-IPO funding updates and broader equity market conditions that could shift implied probabilities across the $1–2 trillion bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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